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Toronto Maple Leafs center Bobby McMann celebrates his goal against the New York Islanders as we offer our Bruins vs. Maple Leafs prediction. — Toronto Maple Leafs center Bobby McMann celebrates his goal against the New York Islanders. Photo by Brad Penner via Imagn Images

Something's gone awry with the home cooking in Toronto, as the Toronto Maple Leafs have lost three of the last four, all without Auston Matthews, and are a mediocre 5-4-0 at Scotiabank Arena since Nov. 26.

Matthews' status for Saturday's contest against the Boston Bruins (7 p.m. ET, ESPN+) is still unknown. Meanwhile, the Boston Bruins are floundering on the road, losing four in a row and six of the previous eight.

Our Bruins vs. Maple Leafs prediction features one of the home team's in-form players, Bobby McMann, while also providing a Brad Marchand prop pick.

Today's Bruins vs. Maple Leafs prediction

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My best pick: Bobby McMann Over 0.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds | Implied probability: 47.62%

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It took McMann only one game to get back into the swing of things after missing seven in the first two weeks of December due to a lower-body injury. He was held off the scoresheet in his return against the Detroit Red Wings but has since been on a tear, registering at least a point in seven of the last nine contests.

He has 10 points (six goals and four assists) during that stretch. The 28-year-old scored both of Toronto's goals in Thursday's 2-1 away win over the New York Islanders and has four points in the last four games.

He tallied four points in the previous six games at Scotiabank Arena and is popping up more consistently as an offensive threat, most recently in Matthews' absence.

McMann notched five points in the six games since Matthews re-aggravated his upper-body injury. Against the Islanders, he had a 60.9 expected goals %, which followed 60.7% the previous game.

A winning $10 bet will profit $11.

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs player prop pick

NHL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change.

Brad Marchand prop pick: Over 2.5 shots ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: -120 via Betway | Implied probability: 54.55%

I backed Marchand to fire at least three shots on Jonathan Quick in the Big Apple on Thursday, and he came through. I fear his recent uptick in shot productivity will end at some point, but I'm compelled to ride the hot hand.

Marchand has at least three shots in the last three games and 13 of the previous 17 road encounters. That extended stretch of success in enemy rinks instills the most confidence. He also hit this Over in both previous tilts against the Maple Leafs, registering three in Toronto and four in Boston.

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs game info

When: Saturday, Jan. 4
Puck drop: 7 p.m. ET
Where: Scotiabank Arena (Toronto)
How to watch: Sportsnet, ESPN+
Favorite: Maple Leafs (-140 via Betway)

Bruins vs. Maple Leafs injuries

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Written By:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.