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 Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs runs down the field after receiving the ball as we look at our Jahmyr Gibbs player props.
Pictured: Detroit Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs runs down the field after receiving the ball. Photo by Audrey Richardson / USA Today Network via Imagn Images.

With David Montgomery due to return for the Lions, Jahmyr Gibbs’ reign as a true workhorse running back could be coming to an end.

Our Jahmyr Gibbs player props picks still project the talented rusher to enjoy an efficient rushing effort against a flimsy Commanders run defense. But we’re not expecting a drastically different split to the overall workload than what we saw between Sonic and Knuckles throughout the year.

The Lions (-8.5) host the Commanders at Ford Field in Detroit on Saturday at 8 p.m. ET (FOX). Detroit enters as the favorite in the Super Bowl odds entering the NFL divisional round.

Jahmyr Gibbs player prop odds vs. Commanders

Jahmyr Gibbs player prop predictions vs. Commanders

  • Jahmyr Gibbs Under 15.5 rushing attempts ()
  • Jahmyr Gibbs Over 82.5 rushing yards (-115 via DraftKings)

Jahmyr Gibbs Under 15.5 rushing attempts

The million-dollar question revolves around Gibbs’ workload upon Montgomery's return. Gibbs fell short of 15.5 rushing attempts 11 out of 14 times (78.6%) when Montgomery was active this season.

I predict Dan Campbell’s team will go out of its way to justify a split backfield, insisting upon featuring Montgomery as usual in this divisional-round matchup. For a more aggressive approach, Caesars offers +120 odds on Under 14.5 attempts as one of your divisional round predictions.

Jahmyr Gibbs Over 82.5 rushing yards

We’re expecting Gibbs’ rushing workload to revert back to a more meager total in this game. However, his efficiency should keep him in play to clear his 82.5-yard rushing total at DraftKings.

Gibbs has racked up 5.6 yards per carry on the year and faces a Washington defense ranked 28th in opposing YPC while allowing 135.4 rushing yards per game.

Jahmyr Gibbs regular season stats

  • Games: 17
  • Rushing yards: 1,412
  • Rushing attempts: 250
  • Receptions: 52

Commanders vs. Lions expert picks & predictions

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