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Houston Texans wide receiver John Metchie III (8) makes a reception as we look at the best anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day.
Houston Texans wide receiver John Metchie III (8) makes a reception. Photo by Troy Taormina-Imagn Images.

The NFL celebrates Christmas Day with a marquee doubleheader on Netflix that will go a long way to solidifying the AFC playoff picture.

The NFL schedule-makers shuffled the deck after all four teams played on Saturday. The Pittsburgh Steelers will play host to the Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at 1 p.m. ET and the Houston Texans host the Baltimore Ravens (-5.5) at 4:30 p.m. ET. Both games are available on Netflix to help you break away from family time once presents are opened.

My anytime touchdown scorer predictions for Christmas Day serve as your final stocking stuffers and hope to help you reload your bank account after the holidays.

Anytime touchdown scorer picks: Chiefs vs. Steelers

Our NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the latest odds among the legal sportsbooks in your region on each of these picks.

Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Kareem Hunt, RB ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds:  | Implied probability: 34.48%

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Hunt continues to pace the Kansas City backfield in snap share and production as Isiah Pacheco has been rather ineffective since returning from injury. Hunt played 43% of the snaps in Saturday's win over the Texans and scored a touchdown while turning 13 total touches into 79 yards from scrimmage.

The Steelers' elite pass rush and strong aerial defense leaves them susceptible to the run. They've allowed 1,304 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground through 15 games.

A winning $10 bet at Caesars would return a profit of $19, $2.50 more than the same bet placed on DraftKings' +165 odds.

Steelers anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Pat Freiermuth, TE ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds:  | Implied probability: 21.74%

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The Chiefs have allowed a league-high 1,090 yards to opposing tight ends this season. Even though those yards have translated to a modest five touchdowns, we're going back to the well after Dalton Schultz found his way into the end zone for the Texans on Saturday.

Though receiver George Pickens is expected to return from injury for Pittsburgh, that shouldn't impact Freiermuth's playing time or usage in a favorable matchup. He has played at least 62% of the snaps in each of the last five weeks. He scored in three straight games before being held out of the end zone last week despite securing all three of his targets against the Ravens.

FanDuel offers outlier +360 odds with DraftKings setting the market low at +295. That's a difference of $6.50 in profits on a winning $10 bet.

NFL Christmas Day expert picks

Anytime touchdown scorer picks: Ravens vs. Texans

Ravens anytime touchdown scorer prediction: Zay Flowers, WR ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds:  | Implied probability: 42.55%

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Flowers hasn't scored a touchdown in four straight games but he recorded his first 100-yard game since Week 9 in the win over the Steelers. He received a total of 21 targets over his last two games.

He has an excellent opportunity to break his scoring drought against a Texans defense with a league-high 20 touchdowns allowed to receivers.

Turn a winning $10 bet into a $13 profit at DraftKings.

Texans anytime touchdown scorer prediction: John Metchie III ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds:  | Implied probability: 16.67%

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Metchie has practiced in full this week after missing Saturday's game due to a shoulder injury. As such, I expect him to play a large role over the freshly signed Diontae Johnson in the wake of Tank Dell's season-ending injury.

Metchie played 42% of the snaps in Week 15 and hit a season-high of 71% in Week 12. Though he has just one touchdown on the season, I like his chances against a Ravens defense with 17 touchdowns allowed to receivers, especially with Houston likely to need a pass-heavy game script as a 5.5-point home underdog.

bet365 is one of our few NFL prop betting sites offering odds on this pick as of Tuesday.

Touchdown scorer parlay for Christmas Day

We're making our anytime touchdown scorer parlay at FanDuel - one of our best NFL parlay betting sites - to take advantage of a variety of boosts for Christmas Day. Among them, get a 50% profit boost for an NFL SGP+.

  • Kareem Hunt (+185)
  • Pat Freiermuth (+360)
  • Zay Flowers (+120)
  • John Metchie III (+400)

Total odds: +10176 (0.97%) | $10 bet returns a $1,017.84 profit

Anytime touchdown scorer odds for Christmas Day

Chiefs vs. Steelers odds to score a touchdown

Ravens vs. Texans odds to score a touchdown

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