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East Carolina Pirates wide receiver Anthony Smith celebrates a touchdown with offensive lineman Jimarion McCrimon as we make our best East Carolina vs. NC State prediction for the Military Bowl.
East Carolina Pirates wide receiver Anthony Smith celebrates a touchdown with offensive lineman Jimarion McCrimon. Photo by Lucas Boland / Imagn Images.

In-state rivals East Carolina and NC State meet Saturday at the Military Bowl. Kickoff from Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium is 5:45 p.m. ET (ESPN).

  • East Carolina earned bowl eligibility for the third time in the last four years, finishing 7-5
  • NC State won as an underdog against North Carolina in its regular season final to finish 6-6 and earn bowl eligibility
  • The Wolfpack are 6.5-point favorites, according to our best sports betting apps

As we continue our college bowl game predictions this week, my East Carolina vs. NC State prediction for the Military Bowl digs into whether the Pirates can keep up with their ACC counterparts. 

Our college football bowl game opt-out tracker has you covered with the latest opt-out news and the impact on the college bowl game odds.

East Carolina vs. NC State prediction & best pick: Military Bowl

College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. 원타임 카지노 데일리 보너스 subject to change.

  • Against the spread pick: East Carolina +6.5 () vs. NC State ⭐⭐⭐
  • My best pick: NC State first drive result: any other () ⭐⭐

East Carolina vs. NC State ATS prediction

East Carolina to cover the spread: +6.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +xxx via Sportsbook | Implied probability: XX.XX%

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Coaching and quarterback changes served East Carolina well

East Carolina’s season looked to be spiraling out of control after a 3-4 start. The poor start prompted the team to fire then-head coach Mike Houston, replacing him with defensive coordinator Blake Harrell.

Under Harrell, the team won each of its first four games, before losing the regular season finale to Navy. 

The Pirates also benefited from a quarterback change, as Katin Houser’s first start came in the loss to Army, the last game that Mike Houston coached. 

After that, the Pirates rattled off four consecutive wins (against Temple, Florida Atlantic, Tulsa, and North Texas) in which it averaged more than 500 yards of total offense. 

NC State’s new look defense?

NC State will have a new defensive play-caller for the Military Bowl, after former defensive coordinator Tony Gibson left for the head coaching job at Marshall.

The Wolfpack employ a unique 3-3-5 defense that was left vulnerable to the run at times. NC State barely held on to rank in the top half of the ACC with 143.8 rushing yards allowed, but that run-stopping unit may not be as formidable if stud defensive end Davin Vann opts out.

East Carolina has had success against NC State

East Carolina gets up to play its in-state rival, as it has won 10 of the last 19 head-to-head meetings with NC State. In the most recent matchup in 2022, NC State barely escaped Greenville with a one-point 21-20 victory in a game it was a 12.5-point favorite.

East Carolina vs. NC State best pick

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NC State first drive result: any other⭐⭐

Best odds: +550 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 15.38%

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FanDuel offers a four-way betting line for NC State’s first possession with the following options: offensive touchdown (+145), punt (+155), field goal attempt (+500), or any other (+550). 

The Wolfpack employed a shaky offensive line all season, ranking outside the top 120 in tackles for loss allowed. 

An East Carolina defense that ranks 11th in tackles for loss and 23rd in turnovers gained will be licking its chops to face the turnover-prone Wolfpack.

I will back the Over on any CJ Bailey interception odds when they become available, as he has thrown at least one pick in three consecutive games (and five total in that span). 

Without those player props available, this wager is worth a flier at +550 odds that the Wolfpack turn the ball over on their first possession. A $10 winning wager would net $55 in profits.

East Carolina vs. NC State odds

See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.

East Carolina vs. NC State live odds

East Carolina vs. NC State opening odds:

  • East Carolina: +5.5 (-110 via BetMGM)
  • NC State: -5.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

East Carolina vs. NC State injuries

Military Bowl game info

  • When: Saturday, Dec. 28
  • Kickoff: 5:45 p.m. ET
  • Where: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium (Annapolis, Md.)
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Weather: 48 degrees, 84% chance of precipitation, wind 6 mph SSE
  • Favorite: NC State -6.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

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